Polls polls everywhere

This is a banner day on the left. Both Xoff and I agree with Congressman Mark Green on something.

By JAMES A. CARLSON
Associated Press Writer

MILWAUKEE (AP) -- Gov. Jim Doyle leads Republican challenger Mark Green by 13 points in a new poll released Thursday that was immediately disputed by a Green campaign spokesman as "flat out wrong."

There is no way that Governor Doyle is 13 points up on Green. But I do think this poll and the poll released this week by One Wisconsin Now shows some troubling things for Team Green.

The results from the St. Norbert poll do suggest that Doyle that is gaining ground, but Green doesn't seem to be picking up support. This seems to be the case in numerous polls.

And the One Wisconsin now poll results show something that is even more troubling for the Green Team. The conventional thinking in elections is that undecided voters break 2-to-1 for challengers and the One Wisconsin now poll had ten percent of the state undecided. But with either the 47% to 41% margin for Doyle or the 48% to 41% margin for Doyle if you limit the poll to just those that are definitely going to vote, there aren't enough undecided voters left for him to win even if Green does get the 2-to-1 ratio.

UPDATE: Slate.com's election site has Wisconsin listed in the Dem momentum shift column too.